Anti-Obamanomics
Saturday, August 30th, 2008A brilliant article by George Reisman.
Notes. 1) Reisman writes:
Other people’s means of production, other people’s capital, are the source both of the supply of the goods one buys and of the demand for the labor one sells. The greater is other people’s accumulation of capital, the more abundant and less expensive are the products available for one to buy in the market and the greater is the demand for the labor one sells in the market and thus the higher the wages at which one can sell it.
The increase in the demand for labor is due to the greater relative scarcity of labor as opposed to capital. The more capital is invested per worker, the less each additional unit of capital is useful as versus an additional unit of labor. In other words, investment in capital goods is subject to diminishing returns; on the other hand labor becomes more valuable and more in demand which causes nominal wages to rise until the marginal increase in wages furthers production as much as a marginal increase in the investment in capital goods (that is, until the marginal value product of labor is equal to the marginal value product of capital).
Now, of course, labor becomes more productive mostly due to investment in capital. Even non-capital-intensive industries compete for workers with industries that are capital-intensive and must raise the wages of their workers in order not to lose them. (For example, a butler will benefit from economic progress, because his master will fear losing him to capital-intensive projects in which he will be very productive and therefore earn more money. The butler’s wages, too, must rise along with the wages of other workers.) Now it is true that if firm A has invested heavily into capital goods, and firm B has not, then only A’s demand for labor will increase. However, we are talking about the economy-wide capital accumulation. It is when we look at the economy as a whole that we see that wages are bound to rise given a general increase in capital available for production. Once wages have caught up, new technologies and increased savings again make creating capital goods profitable. Money flows into “labor-saving” machines. Yet this makes human labor relatively cheap and eventually boosts demand for it. This cycle goes on forever and results in constantly increasing real (though not nominal, barring inflation) wages.
2) He goes on:
For example, $1 million expended by grocery stores in buying produce at wholesale will show up as $1 million of such cost within days. However, $1 million expended in the construction of a new building with a depreciable life of forty years will show up as a cost of production to be deducted from sales revenues only after the building is fully completed, and then at the rate of just $25,000 per year, as per its forty-year depreciable life.
What he means is that the rate of capital consumption differs in the case of groceries and the new building. Groceries are bought wholesale, then sold retail and are eaten by the consumers within days. There you have it, a million dollars worth of capital (wholesale groceries) has been used up, having been transformed into life energy. But a building is consumed much more slowly: only $25,000 of it disappears into the abyss every year. Hence capital consumption is smaller, but if revenues from the building are the same as from the groceries, then overall profits in the economic system are much higher.
Now investing into longer production processes from the point of view of an individual firm is possible due to lower interest payments. The costs of doing business over time are lessened. That is, the cost of time during a boom is lower than consumers prefer. Investing into more durable capital goods is one way to benefit from lower interest rates, because you lose less money from buying such goods — the money which could instead have been loaned out and earned interest. In other words, suppose you are trying to decide whether to purchase a new building or to put the money on a CD. The interest on $1,000,000 over 40 years can be quite large, but if interest rates are low (whether naturally or artificially), then the profits obtained from using the building even given the yearly maintenance expenditure of $25,000 have a better chance of outweighing the counterfactual interest return. (We are not guilty of double counting here: if you maintain the building, then at the end of 40 years you will be able to sell it for $1,000,000; if you don’t maintain it, then in 40 years it will collapse. Either way, you’ll have spent $1,000,000 + interest foregone.)
I look at this guy and see the terrible busyness and burden of managing the economy and society like some Soviet central planner. He must see all and know all. His yoke is far from easy, and his burden is far from light. A single mistake, and something terrible will happen. Yet he performs his duty with complete devotion and perfect determination to guide the economy towards success.